Macroeconomic Indicators of Economic Growth using Panel Data: A Study from South Asian Countries

Authors

  • Tanveer Muhammad Al shams Asian University of Bangladesh
  • Aysha Ashraf Asian University of Bangladesh

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18034/ra.v11i1.646

Keywords:

Gross Domestic Product, Macroeconomic factor, Panel Data, South Asian Countries

Abstract

Economic development is a most imperative element in figuring out the well-being of the citizens in a country. The present study analyzes the effect of key macroeconomic indicators on the Economic development of South Asian countries. The study intends to scrutinize the long-run and short-run association between Economic development and several macroeconomic variables by using panel data analysis. During ultimate 10 years, a few South Asian countries (SA) had economic instability. The study is aimed to investigate the macroeconomic indicators of some selected SA countries’ economic growth. The static linear panel statistics model had been used for figuring out the consequences of unbiased macroeconomic variables on the gross domestic product (GDP) of SA member countries including Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, and Nepal. While explained variable of examines is analysis is gross domestic product (quantity), the unbiased variables are current account balance general government gross debt, general government revenue, general government total expenditure, inflation (average consumer prices), population, the volume of exports of goods and services, volume of imports of goods and services. The analysis proposed is grounded on a panel data (cross-sectional time series data) approach. The data set of this exploration involves four SA members among 9 countries (cross-sectional units). The effects of 8 macroeconomic indicators on gross domestic product volume were examined. The paper also empirically analyzes the (negative impacts of the global financial crisis) on four SA countries’ economic growth during the 1980 – 2020 periods (time series). In this environment, the goods of macroeconomic parameters are anatomized using panel data series. The main findings of this model indicate that the level of population, general government revenue, inflation (average consumer prices), and volume of exports of goods and services, positively affects economic growth. The findings of this paper will be used for increasing the economic growth of south Asian countries.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biographies

  • Tanveer Muhammad Al shams, Asian University of Bangladesh

    Assistant Professor, School of Business (SOB), Asian University of Bangladesh

  • Aysha Ashraf, Asian University of Bangladesh

    Assistant Professor, School of Business (SOB), Asian University of Bangladesh

References

Abou-Stait, F. (2005). “Are Exports the Engine of Economic Growth? An Application of Cointegration and Causality Analysis for Egypt”, 1977-2003, African Development Bank.

Abbot, A. & De Vita, G., (2011). “Revisiting the relationship between Inflation and Growth: A note on The Role of Exchange Rate Regimes”. Economic Issues, 16(1):37-52.

Al-Iriani, M. (2007). “Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in GCC Countries: A Causality Investigation Using Heterogeneous Panel Analysis, Topics in Middle Eastern and North African Economies”. Electronic Journal, vol.9, Middle East Economic Association and Loyola University Chicago.

Alguacil, M. Cuadros, A. & Orts, V. (2011). “Inward FDI and Growth: The Role of Macroeconomic and Institutional Environment”. Journal of Policy Modeling. 33(3): 481-496, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2010.12.004.

Ajayi, S. I. (ed.) (2006) “Foreign Direct Investment in Sub-Saharan Africa: Origins, Targets, Impact, and Potential”. Nairobi, Kenya: African Economic Research Consortium.

Aydin, C., Wsen, o. & Bayrak, M., (2016). “Inflation and Economic Growth: A Dynamic Panel Threshold Analysis for Turkish Republics in Transition Process”. Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences, 229: 196-205, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2016.07.129.

Bouchoucha,N. & Bakari, S. (2019). “The Impact of Domestic and Foreign Direct Investment on Economic Growth”. Fresh Evidence from Tunisia. MPRA paper No. 94777.

Baharumshah A.Z., Slesman L., & Wohar M.E. (2016), “Inflation, inflation uncertainty, and eco‑ nomic growth in emerging and developing countries: Panel data evidence”. Economic Systems'. 40(4), 638–657, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosys.2016.02.009.

Cameron, N., Hum, D. & Simpson, W., (1996), “Stylized Facts and Stylized Illusion: Inflation and Productivity Revisited”. Canadian Journal of Economics. 29: 152-162, https://doi.org/10.2307/136156.

Ching-Cheng Chang & Michael Mendy (2012). “Economic growth and openness in Africa: What is the empirical relationship?”, Applied Economics Letters, 19(18), 1903-1907, https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2012.676728.

Dollar, D. (1992). “Outward-Oriented Developing Economies Really Do Grow More Rapidly: Evidence from 95 LDCs, 1976-1985”. Economic Development and Cultural Change. 40(3): 523-544, https://doi.org/10.1086/451959.

Gillman, M. & Harris, M., (2010). “The Effect of Inflation on Growth”. Economics of Transition. 18(4):697-714.

Havi, E., Enu, P., Gyimah, F., Obeng, P. & Opoku, C. (2013). “Macroeconomic Determinants of Economic Growth In Ghana: Cointegration Approach”. European Scientific Journal, 9(19), 156-174.

Kabir, M. (2003). “FDI, Information Technology and Economic Growth in the MENA Region”. 10th Economic Research Forum Conference, Moroco, 2003.

Lucas Jr., R.E. (1988) “On the Mechanics of Economic Development”. Journal of Monetary Economics. 22: 3-42.

Levina, O. (2011). “FDI, Economic Freedom and Growth: Are They related?” Central European University, Budapest, Hungary.

Makdisi, S., Fattah, Z. & Limam, I., (2006). “Chapter two Determinants of Growth in the MENA Countries”. pp. 31-60.

Most, S.J. &Van Den Berg, H. (1996). “Growth in Africa: Does the source of investment financing matter?” Applied Economics, 28(11), 1427–1433, https://doi.org/10.1080/000368496327697.

Moussa, M., Caha, H., Karagoz, M., (2016). “Review of Economic Freedom Impact on FDI: New Evidence from Fragile and Conflict Countries.” Procedia Economics and Finance 38: 163-173, https://doi.org/10.1016/s2212-5671(16)30187-3.

Piazolo, M., (1996). “Determinants of Indonesian Economic Growth, 1965-1992”. Seoul Journal of Economics. 9(4): 269-298.

Romer, P. (1986). “Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth”. Journal of Political Economy, 94(5), 1002-1037, https://doi.org/10.1086/261420.

Saaeed, A. & Hussain, M. (2015). “Impact of Exports and Imports on Economic Growth: Evidence from Tunisia”. Journal of Emerging Trends in Economic and Management Science (JETEMS). 6(1):13-21.

Sheshgelani, A & Badri, A. (2017). “The Effect of Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Freedom on Economic Growth in Developing Countries”. The Journal of Middle East and North Africa Sciences. 3(9).

Solow, R. (1956). “A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth”. The Quarterly Journal of Economics. 70(1): 65-94.

Sergio, R. (1991) "Long-Run Policy Analysis and Long-Run Growth," Journal of Political Economy. 99(3): 500-521, https://doi.org/10.1086/261764.

Ta, N., Hepen, A. and Önder, E. (2013). Analyzing Macroeconomic Indicators of Economic Growth using Pan-el Data, vol. 2, no.3, 2013, 41-53 ISSN: 2241-0998 (print version), 2241-0996(online)

Tsoukas, S., (2011). Firm survival and financial development: Evidence from a panel of emerging Asian economies. Journal of Banking & Finance, 35, 1736–1752.

Tung, L., Thanh, P., (2015). “Threshold in Relationship between Inflation and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence in Vietnam”. Asian Social Science. 11(10): 105-113, https://doi.org/10.5539/ass.v11n10p105.

Vinayagathasan, T., (2013). “Inflation and Economic Growth: A Dynamic Panel Threshold Analysis for Asian Economies”. Journal of Asian Economics. 26: 31-41, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asieco.2013.04.001.

-0-

Downloads

Published

18-02-2023

How to Cite

shams, T. M. A. ., & Ashraf, A. . (2023). Macroeconomic Indicators of Economic Growth using Panel Data: A Study from South Asian Countries. ABC Research Alert, 11(1), 9-20. https://doi.org/10.18034/ra.v11i1.646

Similar Articles

31-40 of 76

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.